Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.656418 4.396091 5.222632 6.211107 7.357292 8.640597 10.182080
2025-03-09 2.570315 3.501066 4.652759 6.167769 8.091588 10.435045 13.485345
2025-03-16 1.923913 2.920089 4.264617 6.178665 8.794129 12.198737 16.912907
2025-03-23 1.484837 2.483638 3.939316 6.157869 9.383075 13.818426 20.276407
2025-03-30 1.115859 2.049196 3.512093 5.887225 9.540033 14.816082 22.845665
2025-04-06 0.900890 1.799693 3.302514 5.880775 10.041882 16.306109 26.197381
2025-04-13 0.730273 1.582044 3.096448 5.831905 10.446910 17.660348 29.433264
2025-04-20 0.651084 1.511348 3.121999 6.158179 11.469649 20.027525 34.369163
2025-04-27 0.569788 1.416656 3.084887 6.362502 12.298977 22.143160 39.056139
2025-05-04 0.513079 1.359269 3.105447 6.666799 13.320255 24.637760 44.511313
2025-05-11 0.432366 1.229202 2.959707 6.635127 13.733986 26.140455 48.434465
2025-05-18 0.347888 1.067992 2.720105 6.383119 13.708963 26.876871 51.107855
2025-05-25 0.274017 0.914162 2.471515 6.084213 13.576064 27.437477 53.570983
2025-06-01 0.232138 0.833330 2.372389 6.083815 14.020403 29.065544 58.010167
2025-06-08 0.198435 0.765586 2.291181 6.109547 14.516302 30.821168 62.788281
2025-06-15 0.168196 0.698582 2.198425 6.094225 14.921926 32.430956 67.397096
2025-06-22 0.133122 0.603039 2.011253 5.827798 14.762538 32.935380 69.981134
2025-06-29 0.113330 0.553003 1.936722 5.822035 15.165682 34.565478 74.779223
2025-07-06 0.095382 0.502757 1.850757 5.773809 15.465932 36.005666 79.292746
2025-07-13 0.089816 0.499912 1.905200 6.097364 16.647261 39.318689 87.636981
2025-07-20 0.081676 0.483279 1.914011 6.299975 17.562824 42.136629 95.150222
2025-07-27 0.076447 0.477706 1.957103 6.601705 18.740022 45.574070 104.073712
2025-08-03 0.065235 0.439396 1.884708 6.570305 19.106514 47.308156 109.648236